A new warm current
Sea surface temperatures off southern africa
Off the east coast of southern Africa the water is quite warm at the moment. In fact there's a warm current carrying warm water far down into the southern ocean.
It's been that way for the last month (these pix are from Nov 2 and are cropped from the daily pixs posted at the US Navy's Oceanography & Meteorology Centre ). The anomaly picture shows how unusual it is - the deep red splodge is 4 degrees above normal.
Currently the temperatures off the north west coast of W.A. are slightly below normal which is why the La Nina is not happening as it should. The Leuwin current is sluggish and only just getting into gear. Instead all that warm water is on the other side of the Indian Ocean probably gonna melt a few icebergs but it ain't gonna make it rain.